"Road to 70" is a project with a specific goal:
"achieve 70% US energy sourced from nuclear power"
Building more nuclear power production directly and simultaneously addresses several global trends:
Nuclear power production is at an inflection point, a unique and potentially last chance to consider building more. The future of mankind depends on us, in this very moment, getting this right.
Before we can dive into specifics and plans, we must first look inward and address the core issue.
To get to specific solutions, we must first talk about the general problem.
"Starting with the why" is key to unifying all efforts and considerations against one common operating picture.
Despite living in an Age of unprecedented information availability and access, the sheer volume of information prevents depth of understanding and increases ease for misinformation to take root.
To facilitate the exploration of truth, this page is formatted "Myth" -> "Reality"
For each aspect of discussion, I will present common myths on this side.
The idea is to not make "straw man" arguments, but general arguments that capture the "essence" of this viewpoint.
This side is where we build the Common Operating Picture.
The great thing about science is that you cannot fake it. Data presented is rigorously tested, detailed, and reproducible.
Climate Change outside the academic world remains a hotly contested debate whereas within the academic world the debate centers on not "if" but "what extent" and "how much time we have left".
Opponents to the idea of Climate Change come from 1 of 5 arguments:
The reality of the situation is universally recognized that
Thanks to the incidents of Chernobyl and Fukushima, the mishandling of information and public perception has caused humanity to backslide several decades of progress. Across the world, nuclear power plant construction either stopped or was reversed with plant closures.
The important barrier to navigate is that in many people's minds, nuclear is a hard no. To get on the "Road to 70" we have to look at the barriers to accessing nuclear power production and understand they are artificial - the result of propaganda and poor dialogue, misconceptions and inside the box thinking, and outdated models.
Opponents to nuclear power as a species of power generation would generally comment that:
Nuclear power is the safest form of power generation. Within the United States, there have been zero deaths due to nuclear power since the 1950's.
So far, we have evaluated that there is a global existential threat due to climate change and have kept on the table the idea of nuclear power. There has been decades of development of many technologies such as solar and wind.
The truth is that there is no "exclusion" principle. An equitable mix of each type of power production is a positive step in the right direction. To get to the right mix of energy we must dive deep to understand their capabilities and limitations.
Some of the myths of renewables are regarding the economies of scale of certain energy methods.
The reality is that only nuclear has the ability to keep up with economies of scale required to solve multiple problems simultaneously.
Please reach me at medina_ronald@students.columbusstate.edu if you cannot find an answer to your question.
"Start with why -- how great leaders inspire action | Simon Sinek | TEDxPugetSound" 2009
Climate Change is not real
Climate Change is natural, such as coming out of an ice age
https://www.bgs.ac.uk/discovering-geology/climate-change/what-causes-the-earths-climate-to-change/
Climate Change is only a scheme to make money
https://www.heritage.org/environment/commentary/follow-the-climate-change-money
Climate Change is not caused by fossil fuels
Even if it is true, the abundance of fossil fuels is too great to give up; so we can just "deal with it"
https://fee.org/articles/the-growing-abundance-of-fossil-fuels/
Image from https://www.thedailybeast.com/tucker-carlson-says-were-ignoring-the-good-parts-of-climate-change
Climate Change IS real
https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/
We are not leaving an ice age, in fact the atmosphere has not been in this condition for millions of years despite 2 ice ages passing in that time
https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/broken-record-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide-levels-jump-again
The cost of dealing with the consequences of Climate Change far exceed any revenue for industries built to address it
"These multitrillion-dollar industries all have tremendous swings based on seasonal change, climate change, and weather events like drought, floods, and heat waves." Siddhartha Jha, CEO of Arbol. Quoted from "The Space Economy: Capitalize on the Greatest Business Opportunity of our Lifetime", Anderson, Chad. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, NJ, 2023.
Fossil fuels are the #1 contributor to Climate Changing processes
https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/science/causes-effects-climate-change
Not only are fossil fuels not abundant, but we cannot afford to just live with Climate Change
https://mahb.stanford.edu/library-item/fossil-fuels-run/
Image from NASA’s Scientific Visualization Studio, Key and Title by uploader (Eric Fisk) 2020. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change#/media/File:Change_in_Average_Temperature_With_Fahrenheit.svg
Chernobyl was the worst nuclear accident in human history
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20190725-will-we-ever-know-chernobyls-true-death-toll
Fukushima showed that nuclear power is inherently dangerous
https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/nuclear/nuclear-power-and-the-environment.php
Nuclear Waste is a long term problem caused by nuclear power
https://earth.org/nuclear-waste-disposal/
Living near nuclear power plants is bad for your health
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/ijc.31116 Desbroilles et al. "Cancer incidence in adults living in the vicinity of nuclear power plants in France, based on data from the French Network of Cancer Registries" International Journal of Cancer, October 2017.
Building nuclear power is too expensive
https://www.gpb.org/news/2022/05/09/georgia-nuclear-plants-cost-now-forecast-top-30-billion
Image taken from https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/films/three/
Since 1986 events of Chernobyl, the UN estimates that 4000 people have died from radiation exposure. That many people die every day due to cancers caused by fossil fuel emissions.
https://www.ucl.ac.uk/news/2021/feb/fossil-fuel-air-pollution-responsible-1-5-deaths-worldwide
From the Fukushima disaster, not a single person has been identified in a peer reviewed scholarly paper as having died from radiation exposure. All deaths were a direct result of the Tsunami water surge.
Nuclear Waste is a policy issue not a scientific "know how" issue. Canada and France exercise today the concept of nuclear fuel recycling.
https://www.heritage.org/environment/commentary/recycling-nuclear-fuel-the-french-do-it-why-cant-oui
Almost all studies claiming that nuclear power plants point to this French study - where in the abstract it clearly states that nuclear power was not the cause of increased cancer.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/ijc.31116
Nuclear power construction costs are artificially high. Nuclear Reactor Commission (NRC) superimposes excessive fees and costly inspections that are irrelevant to the act of nuclear power production.
https://progress.institute/nuclear-power-plant-construction-costs/
Image taken from https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2022/12/nuclear-resurgence-nordhaus-lloyd
Solar and wind can replace nuclear power
Availability of hydro- and thermo-power
https://www.energy.gov/eere/water/benefits-hydropower
Nuclear power is too reliant on water, which is a scarce resource
https://balkangreenenergynews.com/climate-change-water-scarcity-jeopardizing-french-nuclear-fleet/
Nuclear reactors take too long to build
https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/economic-aspects/economics-of-nuclear-power.aspx
Image taken from https://www.fool.com/investing/2017/11/26/10-facts-about-solar-energy-that-might-surprise-yo.aspx
Solar and wind do not produce power when human activity needs them, and the methods to store their power are limited
http://large.stanford.edu/courses/2019/ph241/riscoe1/ Andrew Riscoe, Stanford University, February 27, 2019
We have built all the hydro- and thermo- power available
https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/why-arent-we-looking-more-hydropower
Molten Salt Reactors do not use water but rather molten salts to cool and carry nuclear fuel, therefore can be placed anywhere-- even space
https://aquacraft.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/MSR-Paper-for-Jordan.pdf
Abundance of thorium means there's 5x more available fuel readily available for use
https://pubs.usgs.gov/circ/1336/pdf/C1336.pdf
Small Modular Reactor designs can be tailored to each use requirement, leading to faster construction times
https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/02/08/1067992/smaller-nuclear-reactors/
Image taken from https://www.ansto.gov.au/our-science/nuclear-technologies/reactor-systems/advanced-reactors/evolution-of-molten-salt
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