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Road To 70

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  • Home
  • Starting the Road
  • The Next Step
  • What Can Nuclear Bring?
  • The Current Chess Move
  • Strategic Partner Pathway
  • Policy Decision Analysis
  • 6.5Hr Thorium Documentary
  • Educational Resources
  • More
    • Home
    • Starting the Road
    • The Next Step
    • What Can Nuclear Bring?
    • The Current Chess Move
    • Strategic Partner Pathway
    • Policy Decision Analysis
    • 6.5Hr Thorium Documentary
    • Educational Resources
  • Home
  • Starting the Road
  • The Next Step
  • What Can Nuclear Bring?
  • The Current Chess Move
  • Strategic Partner Pathway
  • Policy Decision Analysis
  • 6.5Hr Thorium Documentary
  • Educational Resources

Starting the Road: How we got here


"Road to 70" is a project with a specific goal:

 "achieve 70% US energy sourced from nuclear power"


Building more nuclear power production directly and simultaneously addresses several global trends: 

  • increasing energy requirement for growing population and economy
  • increasing negative affects due to climate change processes
  • increasing foreign influence on U.S. domestic and foreign policy via energy market manipulation
  • increasing influence of fossil fuel waste products on public health
  • diminishing supply of fossil fuels


Nuclear power production is at an inflection point, a unique and potentially last chance to consider building more.  The future of mankind depends on us, in this very moment, getting this right. 


Before we can dive into specifics and plans, we must first look inward and address the core issue. 

"The Why"

The Reality

The Myth

To get to specific solutions, we must first talk about the general problem.  


"Starting with the why" is key to unifying all efforts and considerations against one common operating picture.  


Despite living in an Age of unprecedented information availability and access, the sheer volume of information prevents depth of understanding and increases ease for misinformation to take root.  


To facilitate the exploration of truth, this page is formatted "Myth" -> "Reality"


Learn More

The Myth

The Reality

The Myth

For each aspect of discussion, I will present common myths on this side.  


The idea is to not make "straw man" arguments, but general arguments that capture the "essence" of this viewpoint.


Learn More

The Reality

The Reality

The Reality

This side is where we build the Common Operating Picture.  


The great thing about science is that you cannot fake it.  Data presented is rigorously tested, detailed, and reproducible.  

Learn More

Climate Change

The Reality

The Myth

Climate Change outside the academic world remains a hotly contested debate whereas within the academic world the debate centers on not "if" but "what extent" and "how much time we have left".


The Myth

The Reality

The Myth

Opponents to the idea of Climate Change come from 1 of 5 arguments:


  • Climate Change is not real


  • Climate Change is natural, such as coming out of an ice age


  • Climate Change is only a scheme to make money


  • Climate Change is not caused by fossil fuels


  • Even if it is true, the abundance of fossil fuels is too great to give up; so we can just "deal with it"

Learn More

The Reality

The Reality

The Reality

The reality of the situation is universally recognized that 

  • Climate Change IS real


  • We are not leaving an ice age, in fact the atmosphere has not been in this condition for millions of years despite 2 ice ages passing in that time


  • The cost of dealing with the consequences of Climate Change far exceed any revenue for industries built to address it


  • Fossil fuels are the #1 contributor to Climate Changing processes


  • Not only are fossil fuels not abundant, but we cannot afford to just live with Climate Change

Learn More

Nuclear

The Reality

The Myth

Thanks to the incidents of Chernobyl and Fukushima, the mishandling of information and public perception has caused humanity to backslide several decades of progress.  Across the world, nuclear power plant construction either stopped or was reversed with plant closures.  


The important barrier to navigate is that in many people's minds, nuclear is a hard no. To get on the "Road to 70" we have to look at the barriers to accessing nuclear power production and understand they are artificial - the result of propaganda and poor dialogue, misconceptions and inside the box thinking, and outdated models. 


The Myth

The Reality

The Myth

Opponents to nuclear power as a species of power generation would generally comment that:


  • Chernobyl was the worst accident in human history


  • Fukushima showed that nuclear power is inherently dangerous


  • Nuclear Waste is a long term problem caused by nuclear power


  • Living near nuclear power plants is bad for your health


  • Building nuclear power is too expensive


Learn More

The Reality

The Reality

The Reality

Nuclear power is the safest form of power generation. Within the United States, there have been zero deaths due to nuclear power since the 1950's.  

  • Since 1986 events of Chernobyl, the UN estimates that 4000 people have died from radiation exposure. That many people die every day due to cancers caused by fossil fuel emissions.


  • From the Fukushima disaster, not a single person has been identified in a peer reviewed scholarly paper as having died from radiation exposure.  All deaths were a direct result of the Tsunami water surge. 


  • Nuclear Waste is a policy issue not a scientific "know how" issue.  Canada and France exercise today the concept of nuclear fuel recycling.


  • Almost all studies claiming that nuclear power plants point to this French study - where in the abstract it clearly states that nuclear power was not the cause of increased cancer.  


  • Nuclear power construction costs are artificially high. Nuclear Reactor Commission (NRC) superimposes excessive fees and costly inspections that are irrelevant to the act of nuclear power production.


Learn More

The Sprawling Menu of Renewables

The Reality

The Myth

So far, we have evaluated that there is a global existential threat due to climate change and have kept on the table the idea of nuclear power.  There has been decades of development of many technologies such as solar and wind.  


The truth is that there is no "exclusion" principle.  An equitable mix of each type of power production is a positive step in the right direction.  To get to the right mix of energy we must dive deep to understand their capabilities and limitations.  


The Myth

The Reality

The Myth

Some of the myths of renewables are regarding the economies of scale of certain energy methods.


  • Solar and wind can replace nuclear power


  • Availability of hydro- and thermo-power


  • Nuclear power is too reliant on water, which is a scarce resource


  • Nuclear reactors take too long to build


Learn More

The Reality

The Reality

The Reality

The reality is that only nuclear has the ability to keep up with economies of scale required to solve multiple problems simultaneously.

  • Solar and wind do not produce power when human activity needs them, and the methods to store their power are limited


  • We have built all the hydro- and thermo- power available


  • Molten Salt Reactors do not use water but rather molten salts to cool and carry nuclear fuel, therefore can be placed anywhere-- even space


  • As fuel for Molten Salt Reactors, the abundance of thorium means there's 5x more available fuel readily available for use


  • Small Modular Reactor designs can be tailored to each use requirement, leading to faster construction times

Learn More

Where do we go from here?

The next step

Sources

Please reach me at medina_ronald@students.columbusstate.edu if you cannot find an answer to your question.

"Start with why -- how great leaders inspire action | Simon Sinek | TEDxPugetSound" 2009

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u4ZoJKF_VuA


Climate Change is not real

 https://www.theguardian.com/science/brain-flapping/2014/nov/25/climate-change-is-an-obvious-myth-how-much-more-evidence-do-you-need


Climate Change is natural, such as coming out of an ice age

 https://www.bgs.ac.uk/discovering-geology/climate-change/what-causes-the-earths-climate-to-change/


Climate Change is only a scheme to make money

 https://www.heritage.org/environment/commentary/follow-the-climate-change-money


Climate Change is not caused by fossil fuels

 https://www.quantamagazine.org/how-earths-climate-changes-naturally-and-why-things-are-different-now-20200721/


Even if it is true, the abundance of fossil fuels is too great to give up; so we can just "deal with it"

 https://fee.org/articles/the-growing-abundance-of-fossil-fuels/


Image from https://www.thedailybeast.com/tucker-carlson-says-were-ignoring-the-good-parts-of-climate-change


Climate Change IS real

https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/


We are not leaving an ice age, in fact the atmosphere has not been in this condition for millions of years despite 2 ice ages passing in that time

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/broken-record-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide-levels-jump-again


The cost of dealing with the consequences of Climate Change far exceed any revenue for industries built to address it

     "These multitrillion-dollar industries all have tremendous swings based on seasonal change, climate change, and weather events like drought, floods, and heat waves." Siddhartha Jha, CEO of Arbol.  Quoted from "The Space Economy: Capitalize on the Greatest Business Opportunity of our Lifetime", Anderson, Chad. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, NJ, 2023.


Fossil fuels are the #1 contributor to Climate Changing processes

https://www.un.org/en/climatechange/science/causes-effects-climate-change


Not only are fossil fuels not abundant, but we cannot afford to just live with Climate Change

https://mahb.stanford.edu/library-item/fossil-fuels-run/


Image from NASA’s Scientific Visualization Studio, Key and Title by uploader (Eric Fisk) 2020. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change#/media/File:Change_in_Average_Temperature_With_Fahrenheit.svg


Chernobyl was the worst nuclear accident in human history

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20190725-will-we-ever-know-chernobyls-true-death-toll


Fukushima showed that nuclear power is inherently dangerous

 https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/nuclear/nuclear-power-and-the-environment.php


Nuclear Waste is a long term problem caused by nuclear power

https://earth.org/nuclear-waste-disposal/


Living near nuclear power plants is bad for your health

 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/ijc.31116 Desbroilles et al. "Cancer incidence in adults living in the vicinity of nuclear power plants in France, based on data from the French Network of Cancer Registries" International Journal of Cancer, October 2017.


Building nuclear power is too expensive

https://www.gpb.org/news/2022/05/09/georgia-nuclear-plants-cost-now-forecast-top-30-billion


Image taken from https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/films/three/


Since 1986 events of Chernobyl, the UN estimates that 4000 people have died from radiation exposure. That many people die every day due to cancers caused by fossil fuel emissions.

https://www.ucl.ac.uk/news/2021/feb/fossil-fuel-air-pollution-responsible-1-5-deaths-worldwide


From the Fukushima disaster, not a single person has been identified in a peer reviewed scholarly paper as having died from radiation exposure.  All deaths were a direct result of the Tsunami water surge. 

https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/safety-and-security/safety-of-plants/fukushima-daiichi-accident.aspx


Nuclear Waste is a policy issue not a scientific "know how" issue.  Canada and France exercise today the concept of nuclear fuel recycling.

https://www.heritage.org/environment/commentary/recycling-nuclear-fuel-the-french-do-it-why-cant-oui


Almost all studies claiming that nuclear power plants point to this French study - where in the abstract it clearly states that nuclear power was not the cause of increased cancer.  

 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/ijc.31116


Nuclear power construction costs are artificially high. Nuclear Reactor Commission (NRC) superimposes excessive fees and costly inspections that are irrelevant to the act of nuclear power production.

https://progress.institute/nuclear-power-plant-construction-costs/


Image taken from https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2022/12/nuclear-resurgence-nordhaus-lloyd


Solar and wind can replace nuclear power

https://electrek.co/2022/07/07/wind-and-solar-produce-more-electricity-than-nuclear-for-the-first-time-in-the-us/


Availability of hydro- and thermo-power

https://www.energy.gov/eere/water/benefits-hydropower


Nuclear power is too reliant on water, which is a scarce resource

https://balkangreenenergynews.com/climate-change-water-scarcity-jeopardizing-french-nuclear-fleet/


Nuclear reactors take too long to build

https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/economic-aspects/economics-of-nuclear-power.aspx


Image taken from https://www.fool.com/investing/2017/11/26/10-facts-about-solar-energy-that-might-surprise-yo.aspx


Solar and wind do not produce power when human activity needs them, and the methods to store their power are limited

       http://large.stanford.edu/courses/2019/ph241/riscoe1/ Andrew Riscoe, Stanford University, February 27, 2019


We have built all the hydro- and thermo- power available

https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/why-arent-we-looking-more-hydropower


Molten Salt Reactors do not use water but rather molten salts to cool and carry nuclear fuel, therefore can be placed anywhere-- even space

https://aquacraft.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/MSR-Paper-for-Jordan.pdf  


Abundance of thorium means there's 5x more available fuel readily available for use

https://pubs.usgs.gov/circ/1336/pdf/C1336.pdf


Small Modular Reactor designs can be tailored to each use requirement, leading to faster construction times

https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/02/08/1067992/smaller-nuclear-reactors/


Image taken from https://www.ansto.gov.au/our-science/nuclear-technologies/reactor-systems/advanced-reactors/evolution-of-molten-salt


Images taken from: 

  

https://climate.nasa.gov/global-warming-vs-climate-change/

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2022/12/nuclear-resurgence-nordhaus-lloyd

https://www.space.com/24701-how-long-does-it-take-to-get-to-mars.html


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